20, April 2025

Determinants of Climate Change Affecting Agricultural Productivity in the Western Uttar Pradesh: A Cross-sectional Descriptive Regression-Enter Analysis

Author(s): 1Amit Kumar Tripathi 2Prof. Md. Mahmood Alam

Authors Affiliations:

DOIs:10.2015/IJIRMF/202504034     |     Paper ID: IJIRMF202504034


Abstract
Keywords
Cite this Article/Paper as
References

Abstract: The study aims to know the effect of the climate change determinants on the agricultural productivity in western Uttar Pradesh. The descriptive as well as exploratory research design was used. Preliminary pilot study was performed on the 44 samples. The Cronbach alpha, Bartlet test of significance, KMO test used under scale development and tools standardization for scale reliability and validity of the questionnaire. The sample size of this study was 484. The correlation and regression analysis were used to check the cause-and-effect relationship between ten independent variables (Temperature, Rainfall, Snowfall, Water Balance, Water Quality, Drought, Flood, Land Quality, CO2 Emission, and Fuel Consumption) and one dependent variable (Agricultural Productivity). The nonprobability snowball sampling technique was used in this study.  The empirical results reveal that by increasing one unit in the Temperature, Rainfall, Water Balance, Drought, Flood, CO2 Emission, Fuel Consumption, Snowfall there is a decrease in the Agricultural Productivity by -.137, -.091, -.245, -.013, -.473, -.035, -.459, and -.039 units respectively and by increasing one unit in the Water Quality, and Land Quality there is an increase of .375 and .131 units in the Agricultural Productivity in Western Uttar Pradesh.

   
Key Words: Climate Change Determinants; Agricultural Productivity; Correlation and Regression.

Amit Kumar Tripathi, Prof. Md. Mahmood Alam(2025); Determinants of Climate Change Affecting Agricultural Productivity in the Western Uttar Pradesh: A Cross-sectional Descriptive Regression-Enter Analysis, International Journal for Innovative Research in Multidisciplinary Field, ISSN(O): 2455-0620, Vol-11, Issue-4, Pp.240-251.         Available on –   https://www.ijirmf.com/

  1. Nastis, S. (2012). Climate change and agricultural productivity. African Journal of Agricultural Reseearch, 7(35). https://doi.org/10.5897/ajar11.2395
  2. Bai, D., Ye, L., Yang, Z. Y., & Wang, G. (2022). Impact of climate change on agricultural productivity: a combination of spatial Durbin model and entropy approaches. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCCSM-02-2022-0016
  3. Bhatt, D., Sonkar, G., & Mall, R. K. (2019). Impact of Climate Variability on the Rice Yield in Uttar Pradesh: an Agro-Climatic Zone Based Study. Environmental Processes, 6(1), 135–153. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40710-019-00360-3
  4. Cortés, M. E. (2023). The Fifth Industrial Revolution in Agricultural Sciences. Asian Journal of Agricultural Extension, Economics & Sociology, 41(10), 50–52. https://doi.org/10.9734/ajaees/2023/v41i102140
  5. Danhassan, S. S., Usman, K. M., Abubakar, A., & Abubakar, M. J. (2018). Climate Change and the Fall of Agricultural Production in Some Selected Regions of India. International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology (IRJIET, 2(9), 17–23.
  6. Dhawan, D. V. (2017). Water and Agriculture in India. South Asia Expert Panel during the Global Forum for Food and Agriculture (GFFA) 2017, 1–25. https://www.oav.de/fileadmin/user_upload/5_Publikationen/5_Studien/170118_Study_Water_Agriculture_India.pdf
  7. Giannarakis, G., Tsoumas, I., Neophytides, S., Papoutsa, C., Kontoes, C., & Hadjimitsis, D. (2023). Understanding the impacts of crop diversification in the context of climate change: a machine learning approach.
  8. Goyal, A. K. (2013). Agricultural Production Trends and Cropping Pattern in Uttar Pradesh: An Overview. International Journal of Agriculture Innovations and Research, 2(2), 2319–1473.
  9. Grigorieva, E., Livenets, A., & Stelmakh, E. (2023). Adaptation of Agriculture to Climate Change: A Scoping Review. Climate, 11(10), 1–37. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli11100202
  10. Jayaraman, T. (2011). Climate change and agriculture: A review article with special reference to India. Review of Agrarian Studies, 1(2), 16–78.
  11. Jean Galbert, O. O. (2023). Agricultural Productivity and Climate Change: An Evidence of a Non-linear Relationship in Sub-Saharan Africa. SSRN Electronic Journal, 117669. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4477582
  12. Khan, A. (2022). “Changing Cropping Pattern in Chandauli District Uttar Pradesh: A Block Level Analyse.” International Journal of Research Publication and Reviews, 3(7), 4054–4061. https://doi.org/10.55248/ gengpi.2022.3.7.48
  13. Kim, C. (2010). The Impact of Climate Change on the Agricultural Sector : Implications of the Agro ‐ Industry for Low Carbon , Green Growth Strategy and Roadmap for the East Asian Region Table of Contents. Low Carbon Green Growth Roadmap for Asia and the Pacific, 1–51. https://www.unescap.org/sites/default/files/5. The-Impact-of-Climate-Change-on-the-Agricultural-Sector.pdf
  14. Kumar, R., & Raj Gautam, H. (2014). Climate Change and its Impact on Agricultural Productivity in India. Journal of Climatology & Weather Forecasting, 2(1), 2–4. https://doi.org/10.4172/2332-2594.1000109
  15. Kumar, S. N., Singh, A. K., Aggarwal, P. K., & Venkateswarlu, B. (2012). Climate Change and Indian Agriculture : Impact , Adaptation and Vulnerability Salient Achievements from. 1 33.
  16. Kumar, Sanjeev, & Upadhyay, S. K. (2019). Impact of climate change on agricultural productivity and food security in India: A State level analysis. Indian Journal of Agricultural Research, 53(2), 133–142. https://doi.org/10. 18805/IJARe.A-5134
  17. Kumar, Shiv, Bhargava, H., Singh, P., Singh, J., & Verma, S. K. (2023). Economic Analysis of Marketing Channel of Wheat Production in Hardoi District of Western Uttar Pradesh, India. Asian Journal of Agricultural Extension, Economics & Sociology, 41(10), 140–148. https://doi.org/10.9734 /ajaees/2023/v41i102152
  18. Mahesh, H. P. (2012). Climate Change, Agriculture, Poverty and Livelihoods.
  19. Munandar, T. A., & Sumiati. (2017). The classification of cropping patterns based on regional climate classification using decision tree approach. Journal of Computer Science, 13(9), 408–415. https://doi.org/10.3844/jcssp. 2017.408.415
  20. Naresh Kumar, S., Aggarwal, P. K., Rani, S., Jain, S., Saxena, R., & Chauhan, N. (2011). Impact of climate change on crop productivity in Western Ghats, coastal and northeastern regions of India. Current Science, 101(3), 332–341.
  21. Prasad Saxena, S., & Kumar, A. (2019). Economic analysis of climate change impact, adaptation and mitigation on potato farming in India with special reference to Agra district. Indian Journal of Economics and Development, 7(3), 1–7. www.iseeadyar.org
  22. Ramana, T. V. (2020). Trends in Growth of Agricultural production during Economic Recession in India. April. https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2. 20166.22089
  23. Shah, R., & Srivastava, R. (2017). Effect of Global Warming on Indian Agriculture. Sustainability in Environment, 2(4), 366. https://doi.org/ 10.22158/se.v2n4p366
  24. Sharma, G., Sharma, A., Sinha, N. K., Sharma, O. P., Singh, A., Pandey, A. K., Kumar, A., Trivedi, S. K., Sao, B., & Sahu, M. K. (2022). Assessment of long-term climate variability and its impact on the decadal growth of horticultural crops in central India. Ecological Processes, 11(1), 1–28. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13717-022-00405-w
  25. Singh, N. P., Anand, B., & Singh, S. (2020). Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in India.
  26. Singh, S., & Nayak, S. (2017). Climate Variability and Agricultural Productivity in Uttar Pradesh, India: Evidence From Panel Study. Journal of Regional Development and Planning, 6(2).
  27. Tran, N. Q., Felipe, A., Huynh, T., & Tang, A. (2015). Predicting Agricultural Commodities Prices with Machine Learning : A Review of Current Research.
  28. Tripathi, A. (2015). Farmers’ Vulnerability to Climate Change in Uttar Pradesh, India: Measurement and Correlates. 1–36.
  29. Yadav, A. (2022). Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture. Institute of Economic Growth, New Delhi Under, 1(1), 1–23.
  30. Zhai, F., & Zhuang, J. (2012). Agricultural impact of climate change: A general equilibrium analysis with special reference to Southeast Asia. Climate Change in Asia and the Pacific: How Can Countries Adapt?, 131, 17–35. https://doi.org/10.4135/9788132114000.n3

 

 


Download Full Paper

Download PDF No. of Downloads:10 | No. of Views: 79